Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vila Belmiro (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Brazil	SporTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
World	OneFootball TV


	Santos		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.75
	2.40	3.10	2.65
	2.45	3.15	2.72	Watch
	2.61	3.33	2.84
	2.58	3.28	2.78	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.8
	2.66	3.42	2.77	Watch
	2.49	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.36)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	2.76 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
37.3%

Draw
28.7%

Palmeiras
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Santos - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 4. Lucas Verissimo 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 15. Willian Arao 28. Oliva C. 8. Gabriel Bontempo 10. Neymar (C) 22. Barreal A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 26. Murilo (C) 2. Barboza A. 56. Arthur Gabriel 30. Lucas Evangelista 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 7. Felipe Anderson 42. Lopez J. 18. Mauricio
Substitutes
17. Caballero G. 27. Fernandes D. 26. Joao Ananias 34. Joao Paulo (G) 5. Joao Schmidt 30. Miguelito 21. Moises 81. Pierri S. 38. Rafael Gonzaga 32. Rollheiser B. 11. Rony 16. Thaciano	11. Arias J. 3. Bruno Fuchs 45. Erick Bele 15. Gomez G. 39. Heittor Vinicius 12. Khellven 48. Larson 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 22. Piquerez J. 9. Vitor Roque
Coaches
Cuca	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Felipe Anderson 🟨,
1', Escobar G. 🟨,
29', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
34', Gabriel Bontempo 🟨,
39', Giay A. 🟨,
39', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Igor Vinicius ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
46', Neymar ↓, Rony ↑,
46', Lucas Verissimo ↓, Moises ↑,
46', Lopez J. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Khellven ↑,
64', Vitor Roque 🟨,
64', Rafael Gonzaga 🟨,
76', Marlon Freitas ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
86', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
86', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Thaciano ↑,
86', Andreas Pereira ↓, Luis Pacheco ↑,
89', Luis Pacheco 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.

Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palmeiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Santos has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Menino (Injury) Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Jefte (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Muscle Injury) Sosa R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Palmeiras: Piquerez J. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.26	Corinthians - Santos	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.26	Palmeiras - Santos	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Santos - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Santos	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Santos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLTTW
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.26	Mirassol - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.26	Palmeiras - Santos	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
26.08.26	Palmeiras - Santos	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
15.11.25	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0
06.11.25	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Santos - Palmeiras	1:2
07.04.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0

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