Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday


	Santos		Pirata

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.2	5.99	9.96
	1.22	4.8	12
	1.2	6.05	11.75
	1.22	5.2	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.53)	5.37 ↑ (3.75)	10.62 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
74.5%

Draw
16.9%

Pirata
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pirata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pirata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roman C. (G) 27. Andia R. 18. Bautista P. 5. Collante G. 25. Gutierrez A. 11. Herrera J. 26. Hinostroza Sanchez P. H. J. 77. Mayo J. 6. Navarro J. 7. Ramirez D. 20. Renteria E.	21. Franco E. (G) 8. Alva P. 44. Barreda J. 14. Colchado L. 6. Kambou H. 10. Lopez D. 5. Peralta M. (C) 13. Quevedo P. 7. Sanguinetti F. 22. Sebben M. 18. Villalobos J.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Santos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
24.08.23	Unión Huaral - Santos	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Santos - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
08.08.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	3:0 ✺
03.08.23	Santos - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
22.08.23	Pirata - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:1 ✺
08.08.23	Pirata - Carlos Stein	2:2 ✺
02.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Pirata	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Juan Aurich - Pirata	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Pirata - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
07.06.23	Pirata - Santos	0:0
11.09.22	Santos - Pirata	1:2
11.06.22	Pirata - Santos	0:1
26.08.21	Santos - Pirata	2:0
26.06.21	Pirata - Santos	2:2

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