Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday


	Unión Huaral		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.31	2.57	2.42
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.52	3.28	2.01
	3.05	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Huaral
27.9%

Draw
29.8%

Santos
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.9%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27.5%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Huaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Unión Huaral - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión Huaral will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Santos will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Silva L. (G) 19. Carrillo A. 20. Gutierrez J. 6. Laura A. 21. Lopez M. 30. Marina J. 14. Rengifo R. (C) 25. Serrano B. 5. Tuesta J. 11. Ubierna B. 23. Valladolid J.	22. Roman C. (G) 27. Andia R. 9. Castillo Riascos H. F. 14. Coavoy E. 17. Gomez Zevallos F. L. 11. Herrera J. 31. Kuncho 77. Mayo J. (C) 6. Navarro J. 19. Ormeno B. 20. Renteria E.
Substitutes
8. Aragon J. 7. Chinga R. 27. Cruz Llalle A. F. 12. Romero N. (G) 4. Santa Cruz A. 2. Zamalloa F.	21. Araujo Anticona I. A. (G) 18. Bautista P. 10. Escobar M. 25. Gutierrez A. 3. Quispe J. 7. Ramirez D. 16. Serrano Tapia T. J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 1.

Unión Huaral is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Huaral won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
10.08.23	Unión Huaral - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
04.08.23	Carlos Stein - Unión Huaral	3:3 ✺
29.07.23	Unión Huaral - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Pirata - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLT
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
15.08.23	Santos - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
08.08.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	3:0 ✺
03.08.23	Santos - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Santos - Deportivo Coopsol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
30.05.23	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:0
17.07.22	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:0
17.04.22	Unión Huaral - Santos	0:0
05.08.21	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:3
20.05.21	Unión Huaral - Santos	1:3
07.12.20	Santos - Unión Huaral	3:3
03.11.19	Santos - Unión Huaral	2:1

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