Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Sanchez G. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Tubi TV


	Santos Laguna		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.55	5.5
	1.3	5.61	7.93
	1.40	4.74	6.57	Watch
	1.4	4.65	5.93
	1.54	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	4.73 ↑ (3.6)	6.17 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
65.5%

Draw
19.5%

Mazatlan
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

18.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos Laguna's performance.

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-24.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos Laguna - Mazatlan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reyes A. (G) 21. Felix Rosales J. G. 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 22. Ikechukwu V. 8. Nabweteme S. 24. Padilla D. 4. Peraza M. 3. Pickard S. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K.	22. Solera D. (G) 44. Barron B. 26. Canseco Bracamontes M. F. 5. Delgado V. 8. Eleanor Ortiz L. 30. Espinosa L. 7. Garcia D. (C) 23. Gonzalez A. 9. Lawal T. 13. Montano Osuna M. C. 6. Ramos J.
Substitutes
30. Casas A. (G) 31. Cussin Franco F. C. 27. De Leon N. 6. Ibarra H. 17. Martinez M. 5. Novella Y. 58. Ramirez R. 20. Romero Torres L. M. 25. Ruiz M. 15. Vazquez A.	15. Alday M. 1. Garcia Palacios A. H. (G) 62. Hernandez L. 3. Maria Aleman Mayoral B. 66. Ramirez K. 16. Tirado H. 18. Zuniga Sanchez A. G.
Coaches
Lazcano J.	Rodriguez Aleman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Lawal T. ⚽,
31', Delgado V. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Nabweteme S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Maria Aleman Mayoral B. ↑,
68', Ikechukwu V. ↓, Novella Y. ↑,
84', Eleanor Ortiz L. 🟨,
85', Lawal T. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
85', Eleanor Ortiz L. ↓, Tirado H. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.

Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazatlan is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Santos Laguna is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
11.10.25	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
06.10.25	Santos Laguna - Juárez	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Santos Laguna - Puebla	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Club León - Santos Laguna	5:0 ✺
15.09.25	Santos Laguna - Atlas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLL
- Mazatlan FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
11.10.25	Mazatlan - Querétaro	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Toluca - Mazatlan	6:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Mazatlan - UNAM	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
17.04.25	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	1:2
14.10.24	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	0:0
04.05.24	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	3:2
11.10.23	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	2:2
13.03.23	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	1:1
26.09.22	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	3:2
02.05.22	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:0

Santos Laguna - Mazatlan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide