The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 68%
Draw 18.1%
Puebla 13.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61%
22.4%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
21.6%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos Laguna's performance.
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Santos Laguna - Puebla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 21. Soto F. 29. Lopez G. 4. Vaka L. 3. Pickard S. 14. Dorantes A. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 9. Calvillo S. 24. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 10. Rodriguez K. 25. Diaz N.
19. Perez X. (G) 8. Sanchez A. 2. Peraza M. 3. Martinez L. 4. Diaz Y. (C) 23. Nalukenge J. 10. Herrera L. 14. Lopez A. 7. Nakano A. 6. Lopez A. 9. Terrell K.
Substitutes
26. Arias A. 11. De Leon K. 13. Gomez A. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 6. Ibarra H. 19. Mendez A. 5. Novella Y. 23. Rivas T. (G) 20. Romero Torres L. M. 2. Villa Cuellar S.
24. Collado N. 11. Dominguez Z. 16. Martinez D. 1. Masciarelli R. O. (G) 22. Micheels B. 13. Osorio H. 20. Salmoran D.
Coaches
Lazcano J.
Duron J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Herrera L. 🟥,
32', Diaz Y. 🟨,
40', Nakano A. ↓, Collado N. ↑,
45', Sanchez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaz N. ↓, Guevara Ortega C. ↑,
46', Rodriguez K. ↓, Novella Y. ↑,
55', Dorantes A. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
58', Nalukenge J. ↓, Dominguez Z. ↑,
58', Terrell K. ↓, Osorio H. ↑,
69', Calvillo S. 🟨,
79', Martinez L. ↓, Salmoran D. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Guevara Ortega C. ⚽,
90', Rodriguez D. ↓, De Leon K. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
In recent outings, Santos Laguna has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Puebla has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Santos Laguna holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santos Laguna against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 0.7:0.4 per game).