Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)


	Santos de Guápiles		Herediano

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.9
	3.65	3.05	1.96	Watch
	4.09	3.23	2
	4.01	3.26	1.97	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2
	4.13	3.28	1.92	Watch
	3.65	3.05	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.69)	3.17 ↑ (3.17)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos de Guápiles
23.6%

Draw
29.1%

Herediano
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.8%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos de Guápiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

Santos de Guápiles - Herediano Predictions

Users Predictions: Herediano will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Parker D. (G) 22. Aguero J. 88. Arauz A. 29. Cerdas K. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J. 33. Cortes W. 41. Leal Y. 3. Ordain J. (C) 6. Ramirez F. 9. Rodriguez F. 2. Smith J.	21. Carvajal D. (G) 10. Aguilar E. 8. Cruz A. 14. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez A. 12. Johnson S. 38. Montes G. 19. Perez J. 80. Rodriguez A. (C) 55. Roman Y. 28. Vega R.
Substitutes
13. Aju M. (G) 24. Barthley D. 16. Chirino R. 8. Esquivel M. 91. Evans J. 14. Mendez G. 11. Salas R.	27. Amador A. 16. Araya D. 11. Araya R. 9. Hernandez M. 24. Rodriguez S. 17. Tejeda Y. 92. Walker A. (G)
Coaches
Centeno W.	Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽,
26', Hernandez A. 🟨,
37', Cortes W. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Johnson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Cordero Gonzalez J. 🟨,
52', Montes G. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽,
65', Hernandez A. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
65', Arauz A. ↓, Mendez G. ↑,
65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Amador A. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Vega R. ⚽,
81', Vega R. ↓, Tejeda Y. ↑,
81', Cerdas K. ↓, Esquivel M. ↑,
81', Ramirez F. ↓, Chirino R. ↑,
84', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Barthley D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 1.

Recent matches Santos de Guápiles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Herediano is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Herediano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Herediano is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:32 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Santos de Guápiles won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Santa Ana	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Municipal Liberia - Santos de Guápiles	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWL
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.25	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Herediano - Sporting San José	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Pérez Zeledón - Herediano	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Herediano - Deportivo Saprissa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.12.24	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	0:2
31.08.24	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	3:4
13.04.24	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	0:4
21.02.24	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1
22.11.23	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	3:0
16.09.23	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	1:1
09.04.23	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	2:1

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