Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Alajuelense		Herediano

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.05	3.70
	1.92	3.27	3.97
	1.93	3.32	3.98	Watch
	1.91	3.18	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.21 ↓ (3.31)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
47.6%

Draw
28.6%

Herediano
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Alajuelense - Herediano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Alajuelense for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alajuelense has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:19 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alajuelense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	15:10	5	14
9	Herediano	9	2	1	6	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Alajuelense - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.36%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.09.26	Alajuelense - Inter San Carlos	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.09.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLTL
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Herediano	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Herediano - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
09.08.26	Herediano - Alajuelense	0:3
Costa Rican Super Cup
12.07.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	0:1
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.03.26	Herediano - Alajuelense	2:1
07.02.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1
16.10.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	1:3
10.08.25	Alajuelense - Herediano	0:1
Recopa de Costa Rica
20.07.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	0:1

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