Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Costa Rica	20:00	FUTV


	Alajuelense		Herediano

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.85	3.35	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.47	4.71
	1.87	3.58	3.99	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.65
	1.89	3.66	3.77	Watch
	1.85	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.31)	4 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
50%

Draw
26.9%

Herediano
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alajuelense - Herediano Predictions

Users Predictions: Alajuelense will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 13. Gamboa A. 3. Gonzalez G. (C) 22. Matarrita R. 42. Ruiz J. 28. Sosa Y. 10. Juanpi 5. Borges C. 14. Wilson R. 18. Cisneros R. 99. Michel K.	1. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 21. Rubio E. 99. Brown K. 38. Montes G. 16. Araya D. 8. Cruz A. 26. Juarez E. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 25. Bravo E. 33. Lesme F.
Substitutes
44. Barley E. 11. Diaz L. 7. Hernandez A. 21. Molina Y. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 26. Pinar F. 24. Salazar A. 9. Zaldivar A.	11. Araya R. 45. Bennette N. 34. Henestrosa J. 32. Hudson A. 97. Leal R. 31. Lezcano A. (G) 80. Matthews D. 22. Murillo A. 20. Rivera R. 27. Suarez A.
Coaches
Ramirez O.	Soto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Cisneros R. ⚽,
13', Cruz A. 🟨,
19', Ruiz J. 🟨,
27', Carvajal D. 🟨,
29', Wilson R. 🟥,
37', Rubio E. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
45+5', Matarrita R. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Lesme F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juanpi ↓, Molina Y. ↑,
46', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
59', Lesme F. 🟨,
60', Juarez E. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
60', Bravo E. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
67', Matarrita R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
70', Gamboa A. 🟨,
71', Lesme F. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Cisneros R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
84', Cruz A. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
84', Quiros H. ↓, Fuller K. ↑,
84', Michel K. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
84', Borges C. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
90+2', Salazar A. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 2.

Alajuelense has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Herediano has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Alajuelense is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alajuelense has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:19 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alajuelense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alajuelense	13	6	4	3	21:14	7	22
8	Herediano	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Alajuelense - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.36%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.10.26	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Alajuelense - Inter San Carlos	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLT
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.10.26	Herediano - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Herediano	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
09.08.26	Herediano - Alajuelense	0:3
Costa Rican Super Cup
12.07.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	0:1
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.03.26	Herediano - Alajuelense	2:1
07.02.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1
16.10.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	1:3
10.08.25	Alajuelense - Herediano	0:1
Recopa de Costa Rica
20.07.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	0:1

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