Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero (Heredia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Herediano		Municipal Liberia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.6	4.65	Watch
	1.71	3.79	4.91
	1.66	3.99	4.71	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.73	3.57	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.54)	3.63 ↓ (4.01)	4.67 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
54.8%

Draw
25.4%

Municipal Liberia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.7%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herediano's form might have worsened.

Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herediano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Herediano - Municipal Liberia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Herediano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carvajal D. (G) 10. Aguilar E. 16. Araya D. 99. Brown K. 8. Cruz A. 77. Montenegro J. 5. Quiros H. 24. Rodriguez S. 23. Rubio E. 43. Sibaja G. 62. Tepa	1. Monreal A. (G) 24. Francis W. 10. Hernandez Y. 22. Hudson A. 30. Huertas J. 7. Johnson S. 5. Molina Y. 31. Padilla S. 42. Ruiz J. 11. Torres E. 39. Villalobos M.
Substitutes
11. Araya R. 1. Cruz A. (G) 37. Fuller K. 9. Hernandez M. 26. Juarez E. 97. Leal R. 38. Montes G. 55. Roman Y. 17. Tejeda Y. 40. Vargas S.	19. Arevalo T. 38. Chal J. 2. Elias F. 18. Emiliano D. 16. Hernandez A. 15. Reyes C. 4. Rios J. 23. Villegas D. (G) 12. Zuniga F.
Coaches
Giacone J.	Cardozo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ruiz J. ⚽,
14', Rubio E. 🟨,
26', Villalobos M. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
30', Johnson S. 🟨,
36', Francis W. 🟨,
45+5', Monreal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tepa ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
46', Sibaja G. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
46', Montenegro J. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
46', Padilla S. ↓, Chal J. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Torres E. ⚽,
55', Quiros H. 🟨,
61', Hudson A. ↓, Elias F. ↑,
78', Araya R. 🟨,
81', Torres E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
81', Hernandez Y. ↓, Reyes C. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Hernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Herediano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Herediano won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Herediano	9	2	1	6	8:14	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.03.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Guadalupe - Herediano	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	San Carlos - Herediano	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Herediano - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Guadalupe	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Pérez Zeledón - Municipal Liberia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
25.01.26	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	1:0
19.10.25	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	1:0
31.08.25	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	1:0
11.04.25	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	0:1
08.02.25	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	2:1
24.11.24	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	1:1
17.09.24	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	5:4

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