Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá (San José)

Referee: Madrigal S. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV


	Deportivo Saprissa		Santos de Guápiles

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.35	4.2	6.6	Watch
	1.37	4.68	8.66
	1.39	4.5	8.06	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.42	4.39	7.32	Watch
	1.37	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.32)	4.37 ↓ (4.83)	7.33 ↓ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Saprissa
66.6%

Draw
20.9%

Santos de Guápiles
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

18%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Saprissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Santos de Guápiles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Saprissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saprissa will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Santos de Guápiles will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Alvarado E. (G) 33. Myrie K. 30. Sequeira D. 5. Mora J. 36. Palmer D. 16. Anderson E. 8. Guzman D. 25. Acuna S. 11. Loria M. 37. Vivi Quesada G. 14. Rodriguez A.	12. Parker D. (G) 22. Aguero J. 3. Ordain J. (C) 25. Climaco A. 53. Villalobos J. 88. Arauz A. 6. Ramirez F. 29. Cerdas K. 20. Ruiz A. 9. Rodriguez F. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J.
Substitutes
39. Barahona A. 19. Bolanos R. 17. Hernandez Y. 40. Madriz A. (G) 24. Sinclair O. 2. Taylor S. 7. Valverde J.	24. Barthley D. 16. Chirino R. 8. Esquivel M. 91. Evans J. 41. Leal Y. 1. Morales B. (G) 11. Salas R.
Coaches
Giacone J.	Centeno W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Anderson E. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Loria M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Aguero J. 🟨,
67', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
77', Palmer D. ↓, Sinclair O. ↑,
78', Arauz A. ↓, Chirino R. ↑,
78', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
78', Villalobos J. ↓, Barthley D. ↑,
81', Loria M. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
88', Ramirez F. ↓, Esquivel M. ↑,
88', Rodriguez F. ↓, Salas R. ↑,
89', Myrie K. 🟥,
90+3', Ruiz A. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saprissa won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Saprissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Santos de Guápiles have a series of guest games.

In this match Saprissa is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Saprissa won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 38:21 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Saprissa won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
25.01.25	Herediano - Deportivo Saprissa	3:1 ✺
16.01.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Pérez Zeledón	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
18.12.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Herediano - Deportivo Saprissa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWL
- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
25.01.25	Municipal Liberia - Santos de Guápiles	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cartagines - Santos de Guápiles	5:0 ✺
01.12.24	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
10.11.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	3:3
14.09.24	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2
Costa Rican Copa
04.09.24	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 penalties
Costa Rican Primera Division
12.05.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	3:1
10.03.24	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	1:3
26.11.23	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2
19.09.23	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	2:0

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