Match Info

1. Lig - Round 26

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sarıyer		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.83	Watch
	3.87	3.49	1.83	Watch
	3.99	3.68	1.88
	4.19	3.75	1.77	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	3.89	3.42	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.32)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	1.83 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
23.7%

Draw
26%

Amed SK
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

25.7%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Sarıyer - Amed SK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amed (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Amed SK will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Akyuz F. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 4. Ozer F. 19. Bayram O. (C) 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 27. Kulasin E. 53. Poko A. 88. Silva M. 70. Camara M. 90. Eze E.	31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 34. Syrota O. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 15. Serbest T. 11. Traore A. 27. Moreno D. 20. Hasani F. 22. Dimitrov Z. 45. Diagne M.
Substitutes
23. Bayram M. (G) 9. Dembele P. M. 35. Kara A. 91. Kor B. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 24. Oguz A. E. 7. Regattin A. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.	33. Afena-Gyan F. 97. Arslan A. 14. Bassan E. 1. Damlu A. (G) 17. Demir D. 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 23. Matur O. 91. Saba D. 6. Ustundag C.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Silva M. (Own goal),
28', Diagne M. 🟨,
44', Kaldirim H. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hasani F. ↓, Saba D. ↑,
60', Kaldirim H. A. 🟨,
66', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
67', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
73', Kulasin E. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
74', Moreno D. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
81', Kardesler E. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Eze E. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Eze E. 🟨,
87', Silva M. ↓, Regattin A. ↑,
87', Camara M. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
89', Syrota O. 🟨,
90', Yesil M. ↓, Demirtas K. ↑,
90', Traore A. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Amed might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O. (Suspended) Ucar M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
15.02.26	Pendikspor - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sarıyer - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Erzurumspor - Sarıyer	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sarıyer - Çorum	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Boluspor - Sarıyer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW
- Amed SK
Turkish First League
15.02.26	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Pendikspor - Amed SK	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Amed SK - Adana Demirspor	7:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sivasspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Erzurumspor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.09.25	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.01.24	Amed SK - Sarıyer	3:1
03.09.23	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1
Turkish Second League White Group
10.03.21	Amed SK - Sarıyer	0:3
05.10.19	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1
03.02.19	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:1
15.09.18	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:0

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