Match Info

1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu (Bolu)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Boluspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3	Watch
	2.29	3.2	2.91	Watch
	2.21	3.54	3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.29	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.92)	3.26 ↓ (3.6)	2.99 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boluspor
41%

Draw
28.2%

Sarıyer
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boluspor's form might have worsened.

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boluspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarıyer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Boluspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boluspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 2. Artan O. 24. Arslan K. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. 80. Balburdia M. 8. Lico D. 5. Senyurt D. 17. Davas D. 7. Alici B. 9. Usluoglu A.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 3. Djilobodji P. 19. Bayram O. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 70. Camara M. 88. Silva M. 7. Regattin A. 27. Kulasin E. 90. Eze E.
Substitutes
61. Akanbi R. 34. Alpsoy H. 16. Cakmak T. 23. Can A. 20. Cayli M. A. 81. Kazanci E. 14. Kirim A. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 15. Topcu B. 46. Yildiz M.	10. Anziani J. 17. Aydogmus B. 23. Bayram M. (G) 13. Berber O. 91. Kor B. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 2. Kurucuk F. 4. Ozer F. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.
Coaches
Arslan E.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Arslan K. ↓, Yilmaz C. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Kulasin E. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Kouagba L. ⚽, Lima L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Eze E. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
69', Yilmaz C. ↓, Akanbi R. ↑,
69', Alici B. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,
83', Camara M. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
84', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Kurucuk F. ↑,
85', Regattin A. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
88', Akanbi R. 🟨,
90+4', Kulasin E. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
90+4', Bayram O. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
90+4', Senyurt D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In recent matches, Boluspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarıyer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sarıyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Boluspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Boluspor: Kalburcu I. (Suspended) Uresin A. (Suspended)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boluspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boluspor
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
09.01.26	Vanspor - Boluspor	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Boluspor - Fethiyespor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Boluspor - Pendikspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWTL
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Sarıyer - Igdirspor	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sarıyer - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
16.08.25	Sarıyer - Boluspor	1:1

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