Match Info

USL League One

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Premier Sports Campus (Lakewood Ranch, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sarasota Paradise		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.98	2.82
	2.4	3.2	2.87
	2.4	3.24	2.9	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.75
	2.37	3.05	2.84	Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.72)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.78 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarasota Paradise
37.4%

Draw
29.7%

One Knoxville
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sarasota Paradise - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sutton A. (C) 14. Pettersen J. 4. Watters D. 3. Valentine R. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 10. Cence M. 7. Bryant E. 16. Rodriguez A. 17. Bolanos J. 19. McLaughlin G.	25. Garibay J. (C) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 3. McRobb F. 2. Tiao C. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 72. Rodrigues B. P. 7. Diene B.
Substitutes
9. Bender J. 2. Burlew R. 11. Karani S. 18. Krueger B. 13. Lapkes S. (G) 6. Stretch C. 20. Tainio M.	13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 5. McLeod S. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 22. Perkins W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Brown J. ↓, Perkins W. ↑,
34', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
36', Watters D. 🟨,
45', Pettersen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cence M. ↓, Bender J. ↑,
46', Baker T. ↓, Murphy Jr. J. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Rodrigues B. P. ⚽, Goling M. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Diene B. ⚽, Rodrigues B. P. (A),
61', Bryant E. ↓, Tainio M. ↑,
61', Rosa A. 🟨,
67', McLaughlin G. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
72', Rosa A. ↓, Krueger B. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Bolanos J. ⚽,
76', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
76', Gill R. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,

Preview

One Knoxville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

One Knoxville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
28.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne	2:2 ✺
USL League Two
05.07.25	Miami AC - Sarasota Paradise	0:16 ✺
11.06.25	Miami City - Sarasota Paradise	4:2 ✺
04.06.25	Fort Lauderdale United - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLL
- One Knoxville SC
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Asheville City - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
24.03.26	One Knoxville - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Vistula Garfield - One Knoxville	1:3 ✺
USL League One
14.03.26	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Westchester SC - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLW

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