Match Info

USL League One

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Premier Sports Campus (Lakewood Ranch, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Sarasota Paradise		Portland Hearts of Pine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.48
	2.67	3.76	2.33	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.6
	2.39	3.64	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.31)	3.48 ↑ (3.32)	2.52 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarasota Paradise
37.3%

Draw
26.3%

Portland Hearts of Pine
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sarasota Paradise - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sutton A. (G) 14. Pettersen J. 4. Watters D. 16. Rodriguez A. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 11. Karani S. 7. Bryant E. 3. Valentine R. 17. Bolanos J. 19. McLaughlin G.	1. Morse H. (G) 35. Huck T. 25. Espinosa E. 66. Green K. 27. Mensah E. 3. Armour A. 98. Kidd M. 21. Georgallides K. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 77. Wada M. 32. Terzaghi E.
Substitutes
9. Bender J. 50. Brulinski D. 2. Burlew R. 10. Cence M. 51. Kend A. 18. Krueger B. 13. Lapkes S. (G) 27. O'Dwyer C. 20. Tainio M.	18. Barbosa D. 44. Faye S. 19. Hersi K. 2. Jones-Riley J. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 41. Scarlett Z. 14. Washington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Walker A. ⚽,
22', Armour A. 🟨,
31', Karani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
59', Karani S. ↓, Cence M. ↑,
64', Armour A. ↓, Scarlett Z. ↑,
64', Huck T. ↓, Washington T. ↑,
64', Mensah E. ↓, Jones-Riley J. ↑,
66', Bryant E. ↓, Burlew R. ↑,
66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Tainio M. ↑,
79', Georgallides K. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
82', McLaughlin G. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
82', Bolanos J. ↓, Bender J. ↑,
89', Burlew R. 🟨,
90+1', Tainio M. 🟨,

Preview

Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
14.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne	2:2 ✺
USL League Two
05.07.25	Miami AC - Sarasota Paradise	0:16 ✺
11.06.25	Miami City - Sarasota Paradise	4:2 ✺
04.06.25	Fort Lauderdale United - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Weston - Sarasota Paradise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLLW
- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
21.03.26	AV Alta - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Vermont Green - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0 ✺
USL League One
14.03.26	New York Cosmos - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 penalties ✺
01.11.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLW

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