Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, TNT Sports
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Boca Juniors		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.30	5.00	Watch
	1.80	3.10	5.00
	1.87	3.15	4.90	Watch
	1.86	3.37	5.10
	2.12	3.05	3.96	Watch
	1.82	3.30	5.00
	1.81	3.41	5.16	Watch
	1.80	3.20	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.13)	3.24 ↑ (2.91)	4.88 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
51.3%

Draw
29.3%

Estudiantes La Plata
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

32%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montero A. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 26. Pellegrino M. 3. Blanco L. 5. Paredes L. (C) 19. Flores L. 25. Ascacibar S. 18. Delgado M. 10. Aranda T. 16. Miguel Merentiel	1. Iacovich F. (G) 20. Meza E. 4. Nunez S. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 22. Castro A. 29. Perez Fabricio 10. Palacios T. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. (C)
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 24. Gorosito D. 23. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A. 22. Villa S. 21. Zenon K.	28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 12. Borzone R. (G) 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 52. Kociubinski B. 40. Mancuso E. 36. Pereyra J. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Arruabarrena R.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Piovi L. 🟨,
60', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
60', Burgos J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
67', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Villa S. ↑,
68', Castro A. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
68', Palacios T. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
74', Flores L. 🟨,
78', Gabriel Neves 🟨,
80', Aranda T. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
85', Flores L. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
85', Paredes L. ↓, Rey Domenech C. ↑,
86', Piovi L. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
90', Benedetti G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.

Boca Juniors is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of away games.

Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Bareiro A. (Lower Back Injury) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Belmonte T. (Ankle Injury) Carlos Palacios (Muscle Injury) Marchesin A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.26	Deportivo Riestra - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Boca Juniors - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1
02.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0
26.08.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 penalties
12.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	0:0
Copa Argentina
22.11.23	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3

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