Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Tucuman Central

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.05	5.3
	1.76	3.08	5.70	Watch
	1.73	2.9	5
	1.67	3	5.89
	1.69	3.07	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	5.45 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
53.3%

Draw
30.1%

Tucuman Central
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

27.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tucuman Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Tucuman Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Roldan I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Recent form of Sarmiento La Banda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tucuman Central has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:2 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTL
- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Tucuman Central - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Tucuman Central	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Boca Unidos - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Tucuman Central - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLW

Upcoming Matches