Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)


	Bartolomé Mitre		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.45	3.25
	1.97	2.85	3.90
	2.48	2.40	3.43
	2.51	2.59	3.51
	2.45	2.35	3.35
	2.36	2.82	3.44
	1.85	3.05	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.85)	2.64 ↓ (3.05)	3.55 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
39.9%

Draw
34.5%

Sarmiento de La Banda
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.3%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

30.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bartolomé Mitre's form might have worsened.

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bartolomé Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-4%)

Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 10. Arraya L. 4. Arregui L. 2. Barrientos M. 7. Canzoniero L. 8. Esquivel L. 9. Klusener A. 11. Penaloza J. 6. Rodriguez R. 3. Romero W. 5. Sarza K.	1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 8. Juarez N. 2. Nunez C. 3. Ochoa A. 10. Roldan I. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 6. Sanchez M. 9. Toloza A. 11. Triverio G. 7. Veliz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Garzon I. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Klusener A. ⚽,
86', 🟨,

Preview

Bartolomé Mitre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sarmiento La Banda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sarmiento La Banda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bartolomé Mitre might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bartolomé Mitre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bartolomé Mitre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLT
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0
26.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0
23.06.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1
18.04.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0

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