Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda)


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.15	5.35
	1.66	3.13	5.23
	1.72	3.23	5.62	Watch
	1.7	2.9	5.5
	1.63	3.18	5.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.52)	3.12 ↓ (3.43)	5.49 ↓ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
54.3%

Draw
29.1%

Defensores de Vilelas
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

26.7%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.8%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de La Banda's form might have worsened.

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Ledesma L. (G)
	8. Acevedo M.
	2. Berlo B.
	9. Carballo G.
	6. Farias F.
	4. Fernandez F.
	3. Molina N.
	11. Montenegro R.
	5. Remotti L.
	7. Rios G.
	10. Robledo S.
Substitutes
	19. Acevedo J.
	18. Canario J.
	12. Carrara F. (G)
	13. Lallana F.
	17. Larrasabal L.
	15. Molina J.
	16. Navarro L.
	20. Ojeda G.
	14. Turraca J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Acevedo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Roldan I. ⚽,
48', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Sarmiento La Banda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Def de Vilelas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarmiento La Banda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLTL
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Juventud Antoniana	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Vilelas	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLTWW

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