Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Salomon Boeseldin (Villa Ram)


	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	1.95	2.92	3.85
	2.02	2.82	3.94
	1.83	3.20	4.62	Watch
	1.96	3.04	3.84
	1.88	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	3.96 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
46.9%

Draw
30.2%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Def Belgrano VR (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Def Belgrano VR (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Def Belgrano VR (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alcorcel A. (G) 5. Camano J. 8. Cartechini J. 6. Gay F. 2. Hertel L. 7. Latof B. 4. Nunez L. 9. Olego F. 10. Perez L. 3. Pezzani F. 11. Rodriguez A.	1. Yacaruso G. (G) 6. Almiron C. 11. Arriola C. 5. Bacas T. 2. Dominguez F. 10. Gonzalez G. 9. Gonzalez H. H. 4. Lopez R. 8. Niz L. 7. Pared M. 3. Piccioni S.
Substitutes
18. Abaca J. 17. De Gaetani A. 20. Marnini N. 15. Monzon L. 19. Rivas L. 12. Sablevich B. (G) 13. Tomino J. 16. Vega A. 14. Zaupa F.	14. Ayala M. 13. Berlo B. 16. Gimenez R. 15. Martinez P. 19. Montenegro R. 20. Parera S. 12. Sanchez F. (G) 17. Sosa M. 18. Vargas H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Nunez L. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Gonzalez H. H. ⚽,
23', Cartechini J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Lopez R. ⚽,
29', Almiron C. 🟨,
37', 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Pezzani F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez L. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
46', Latof B. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
69', Almiron C. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
69', Gonzalez G. ↓, Gimenez R. ↑,
74', Bertacin J. ↓, Abaca J. ↑,
75', Pared M. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
75', Niz L. ↓, Montenegro R. ↑,
85', Gonzalez H. H. ↓, Parera S. ↑,
89', Ayala M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Def Belgrano VR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Def Belgrano VR could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWLL
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - El Linqueño	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.09.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1
17.06.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:1
08.08.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	4:1
11.04.21	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1
26.01.20	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0
31.08.19	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0
14.04.19	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:4

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