The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crucero del Norte 31%
Draw 30.5%
Sarmiento de Resistencia 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
27.5%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
26.8%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Semeniuk K. (G) 11. Alvarez E. 6. Arias J. 4. Duarte C. 9. Golomba N. 3. Narvaez P. 2. Orellana L. 7. Roa Meza J. J. 10. Santa Cruz M. 5. Silva L. 8. Vera J.
1. Yacaruso G. (G) 11. Ayala M. 2. Berlo B. 4. Dominguez F. 7. Gimenez R. 5. Martinez P. 10. Montenegro R. 9. Parera S. 3. Piccioni S. 6. Sosa M. 8. Vargas H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Piccioni S. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Golomba N. ⚽,
17', Duarte C. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, De Olivera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Martinez P. ↓, Arriola C. ↑,
46', Sosa M. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
55', Romero J. P. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
56', Arias J. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Bacas T. ⚽,
64', Berlo B. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
65', Vargas H. ↓, Gonzalez H. H. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Montenegro R. ⚽,
77', Ayala M. ↓, Amaya M. ↑,
77', Berlo B. ↓, Almiron C. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Gonzalez H. H. ⚽,
90+3', Golomba N. ↓, Monges S. ↑,
90+4', De Olivera S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 0.
Crucero del Norte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sarmiento is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 1 match, drew 10 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Crucero del Norte won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
Watch
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Semeniuk K. (G) 
Alvarez E. 
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