Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 16

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Leoncio Benitez (Corrientes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Boca Unidos		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.10	4.40
	1.85	3	4.15
	1.83	3.21	4.25
	1.88	3.19	4.47	Watch
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.84	3	4.5
	1.84	3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	4.3 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Unidos
49.5%

Draw
29.4%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

29%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Fernandez K. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
49', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', 🟥,
72', 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Unidos is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Unidos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.06.26	Tucuman Central - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa	3:1 ✺
06.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1
16.08.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0
18.05.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0
16.03.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	2:1
28.07.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	0:0
07.07.24	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1
10.05.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	3:1

Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide