Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 13

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.5
	3.1	2.78	2.35	Watch
	3.26	2.83	2.47	Watch
	3.11	2.88	2.33
	3.1	2.78	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.55)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
30.1%

Draw
32%

Atlético de Rafaela
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yacaruso G. (G) 3. Arzamendia R. 2. Berlo B. 11. Di Pietro C. 7. Gimenez R. 6. Gnemmi E. 10. Gonzalez G. 5. Martinez P. 4. Moreno G. 8. Niz L. 9. Pared M.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 9. Albertengo L. 7. Alfano A. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 5. Jaime D. 10. Marchiori T. 11. Pastorelli A. 6. Utrera N. 3. Wuattier E. R.
Substitutes
15. Almiron C. 14. Ayala M. 16. Bacas T. 12. Cirrincione E. (G) 13. Dominguez F. 17. Montenegro R. 18. Vargas H.	12. Bergia M. (G) 18. Castro M. 13. Fuyana J. 17. Leineker C. 16. Marquez E. 14. Rojas T. 15. Torres G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Martinez P. 🟨,
36', Arzamendia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Marchiori T. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
60', Albertengo L. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
60', Alfano A. ↓, Marquez E. ↑,
66', Martinez P. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
74', Pastorelli A. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
76', Pared M. ↓, Gonzalez H. H. ↑,
76', Niz L. ↓, Montenegro R. ↑,
85', Martinez M. ↓, Fuyana J. ↑,
90+3', Wuattier E. R. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Sarmiento has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Rafaela is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.05.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre	3:3 ✺
18.05.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	5:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTTLT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Crucero del Norte	3:0 ✺
23.05.25	Juventud Antoniana - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.04.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1
Copa Argentina
02.10.18	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0

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