Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Atlético de Rafaela		Sol de América de Formosa

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8.25
	1.4	3.8	8.2	Watch
	1.41	4.3	7.2
	1.42	4.19	8.07	Watch
	1.37	4.31	9.46	Watch
	1.4	3.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)	4.1 ↑ (3.5)	8.23 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
66.3%

Draw
22.5%

Sol de América de Formosa
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.

Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de América de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Atlético de Rafaela - Sol de América de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Martinez M. 2. Fernandez G. 6. Utrera N. 3. Wattier E. 8. Jaime D. 5. Soloa F. 10. Ontivero L. 11. Pastorelli A. 7. Alfano A. 9. Albertengo L.	1. Quijano F. (G) 4. Rojas F. 2. Gomez N. 6. Ojeda M. 3. Britez G. 8. Romero J. 5. Mendoza M. 10. Pietkiewicz F. 11. Iachetti N. 7. Lastra R. 9. Campero L.
Substitutes
12. Bergia M. (G) 18. Castro M. 13. Fuyana J. 17. Marchiori T. 15. Rojas T. 14. Stizza J. 16. Torres G.	14. Albarracin S. 12. Arce L. 16. Camacho G. 18. Mune P. 17. Paredes N. 15. Pato M. 13. Villasanti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Gomez N. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ⚽,
45', Rojas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Ontivero L. ↓, Marchiori T. ↑,
64', 🟨,
67', Pastorelli A. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
67', Jaime D. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
69', 🟨,
80', Alfano A. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
82', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Atlético Rafaela is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sol de América has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Rafaela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Atlético Rafaela will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW
- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Boca Unidos - Sol de América de Formosa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.03.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	3:1

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