Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 20

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Sarıyer		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.78	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.49	4.07
	1.83	3.49	4.07
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.8	3.52	3.95
	1.77	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.96)	3.49 ↑ (3.32)	4.11 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
51.6%

Draw
26.2%

Derince Belediyespor
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

22.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarıyer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derince Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarıyer - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sarıyer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derince Belediyespor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sarıyer is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarıyer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Sarıyer - Edirnespor Gençlik	2:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.12.23	Sarıyer - Uşakspor	2:1 ✺
19.12.23	Iskenderunspor - Sarıyer	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sarıyer - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Düzcespor - Sarıyer	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.12.23	Denizlispor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
20.12.23	Derince Belediyespor - Menemenspor	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Derince Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.12.23	Derince Belediyespor - Igdirspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
27.08.23	Derince Belediyespor - Sarıyer	1:0

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