Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Vanni Sanna (Sassari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Sassari Torres		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	3	2.15
	3.59	3	2.22
	18.14	4.84	1.23	Watch
	3.41	3.02	2.11	Watch
	2.96	3.04	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.31 ↑ (2.96)	3.38 ↑ (3.04)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassari Torres
16.6%

Draw
31.1%

Ascoli
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sassari Torres's form might have worsened.

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ascoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassari Torres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sassari Torres - Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marano M. (G) 23. Antonelli N. (C) 30. Fabriani C. 3. Mercadante M. 77. Zecca G. 16. Sala M. 8. Masala A. 24. Giorico D. 26. Dumani S. 9. Musso A. 7. Di Stefano L.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 33. Rizzo N. 2. Pagliai G. 4. Damiani S. 6. Ndoj E. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 9. Chakir M. A.
Substitutes
5. Biagetti C. 25. Bonin L. 4. Brentan M. 21. Carboni M. 11. Diakite A. 99. Fois A. 46. Frau C. 14. Idda R. 20. Lunghi A. 6. Nunziatini F. 90. Pilo 2. Scheffer M. 12. Stangoni L. (G) 70. Starita E. 27. Zambataro E.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 18. Corazza S. 80. Corradini G. 27. Cozzoli F. 35. Gori G. 17. Guiebre A. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 3. Nicoletti M. 11. Oviszach E. 29. Palazzino F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Nunziatini F. 🟥,
34', Ndoj E. 🟨,
39', Ndoj E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
53', Silipo A. 🟨,
57', Pagliai G. ↓, Nicoletti M. ↑,
57', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
57', Silipo A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
60', Masala A. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
60', Giorico D. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
66', Musso A. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
66', Di Stefano L. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
71', Antonelli N. 🟨,
72', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
79', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
81', Sala M. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
85', Starita E. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Torres is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ascoli is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ascoli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Torres won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ascoli - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Juventus U23 - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bra - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sassari Torres - Pianese	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Campobasso - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Perugia - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Ascoli - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Ternana - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.04.25	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	1:2
01.12.24	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	1:2

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