Match Info

Serie A - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
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	Sassuolo		Napoli

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.7	1.65
	5.5	3.75	1.65
	5.4	3.7	1.68	Watch
	6.1	3.75	1.67
	15.80	5.34	1.23	Watch
	5	3.75	1.62
	5.67	4.04	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.03 ↑ (6.87)	4 ↓ (4.37)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
14%

Draw
24.5%

Napoli
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

22%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sassuolo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	16.2%	73%

Sassuolo - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Napoli will win (votes: 27 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sassuolo (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Sassuolo (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 20%). Napoli (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Turati S. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 19. Romagna F. (C) 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 90. Kone I. 11. Boloca D. 35. Lipani L. 10. Berardi D. 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.	1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 5. Juan Jesus 17. Olivera M. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 21. Politano M. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 27. Lucca L.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 5. Cande F. 20. Fadera A. 8. Ghion A. 21. Idzes J. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 9. Mulattieri S. 49. Muric A. (G) 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	69. Ambrosino G. 31. Beukema S. 4. Buongiorno A. 77. Cheddira W. 14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 6. Gilmour B. 29. Hasa L. 70. Lang N. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A. 59. Zanoli A.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucca L. 🟨,
56', Berardi D. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, De Bruyne K. ⚽,
67', Kone I. 🟨,
73', Lipani L. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
76', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
79', Kone I. 🟨,
81', Lauriente A. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
81', Doig J. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
82', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
82', Lucca L. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
89', McTominay S. ↓, Vergara A. ↑,
89', Olivera M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
90', Berardi D. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
90', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 0.

Napoli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.

In this match, Napoli is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Iannoni E. (Suspended) Ruan Tressoldi (Knee Injury) Skjellerup L. (Inactive) Thorstvedt K. (Heel Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:47. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Sassuolo - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brest - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
05.08.25	Empoli - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
23.07.25	Sassuolo - Trento	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Sassuolo - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWL
- SSC Napoli
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Napoli - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Napoli - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Napoli - Girona	3:2 ✺
04.08.25	Napoli - Casertana	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Napoli - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.02.24	Sassuolo - Napoli	1:6
27.08.23	Napoli - Sassuolo	2:0
17.02.23	Sassuolo - Napoli	0:2
29.10.22	Napoli - Sassuolo	4:0
30.04.22	Napoli - Sassuolo	6:1
01.12.21	Sassuolo - Napoli	2:2
03.03.21	Sassuolo - Napoli	3:3

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