Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 20

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Needham Market		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.3	3.3	1.9
	3.6	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.74	3.42	2
	3.66	3.47	1.98
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	3.59	3.44	1.95
	3.6	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.69)	3.42 ↓ (3.47)	1.94 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
25.8%

Draw
26.9%

Scarborough Athletic
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

25.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Needham Market's form might have worsened.

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scarborough Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Needham Market, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Needham Market - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Tommy S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, Allen T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Needham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Scarborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
26.11.24	Leamington - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Marine - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Needham Market - Chester	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLLT
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
26.11.24	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Stockton Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Burton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLL

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