Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Darlington

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.33
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.75
	1.75	3.49	4.75
	1.83	3.52	4.28
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.75	3.58	4.56
	1.72	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	4.44 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
52.7%

Draw
26.6%

Darlington
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Brackley Town - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Newton D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Main C. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Lilly Z. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 3.

Brackley is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Darlington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Brackley have a series of home games.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Brackley won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:15 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
05.11.24	Brackley Town - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League North
26.10.24	Brackley Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Needham Market - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Brackley Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
05.11.24	Darlington - Chester	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Farsley - Darlington	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Darlington - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Chorley - Darlington	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rushall Olympic - Darlington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.02.24	Brackley Town - Darlington	1:0
19.08.23	Darlington - Brackley Town	1:1
15.04.23	Brackley Town - Darlington	3:0
15.10.22	Darlington - Brackley Town	2:2
23.04.22	Darlington - Brackley Town	0:2
14.09.21	Brackley Town - Darlington	1:3
05.01.21	Brackley Town - Darlington	2:0

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