Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 20

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Schott Mainz		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.78
	3.92	4.17	1.83
	3.77	4.37	1.69
	4.03	3.84	1.69
	3.8	4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.81)	4.06 ↓ (4.37)	1.75 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schott Mainz
24.2%

Draw
22.8%

Freiberg
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

20.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

20.2%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schott Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schott Mainz's performance.

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schott Mainz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Schott Mainz - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Zie M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Freiberg is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Schott Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
29.11.25	Bahlinger - Schott Mainz	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Schott Mainz - Bayern Alzenau	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Schott Mainz - Eintracht Trier	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Balingen - Schott Mainz	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Schott Mainz - Sandhausen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTLL
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
29.11.25	Freiberg - FSV Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Freiburg II - Freiberg	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Freiberg - Bayern Alzenau	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sandhausen - Freiberg	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.08.25	Freiberg - Schott Mainz	4:0
09.12.23	Freiberg - Schott Mainz	3:0
26.08.23	Schott Mainz - Freiberg	1:4

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