Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiberg		Bayern Alzenau

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.5	6.9
	1.32	6.13	6.66
	1.30	5.26	7.44	Watch
	1.27	5.4	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	5.57 ↑ (5.26)	7.19 ↓ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
70.7%

Draw
16.5%

Bayern Alzenau
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

17.4%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

12%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bayern Alzenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Alzenau than the current prediction. (+5%)

Freiberg - Bayern Alzenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Freiberg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bayern Alzenau is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Freiberg is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.11.25	Sandhausen - Freiberg	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Mainz II - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Freiberg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTT
- Bayern Alzenau
German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.11.25	Bayern Alzenau - Homburg	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	FSV Frankfurt - Bayern Alzenau	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sandhausen - Bayern Alzenau	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Bayern Alzenau - Astoria Walldorf	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bayern Alzenau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLLL

Freiberg - Bayern Alzenau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide