Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Wacker Arena (Burghausen)


	Wacker Burghausen		Schwaben Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.15	6.3
	1.39	5.28	6.03
	1.33	4.95	6.93
	1.36	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	5.1 ↑ (4.85)	6.37 ↓ (6.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wacker Burghausen
67.5%

Draw
18%

Schwaben Augsburg
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wacker Burghausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Schwaben Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wacker Burghausen than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwaben Augsburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Wacker Burghausen - Schwaben Augsburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Simic N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Radoki M. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Ade D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Burghausen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schwaben Augsburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Schwaben Augsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Burghausen is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Burghausen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wacker Burghausen
German Regionalliga Bayern
26.09.25	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Wacker Burghausen - Hankofen-Hailing	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWLW
- TSV Schwaben Augsburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
27.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Unterhaching	0:3 ✺
23.09.25	Würzburger Kickers - Schwaben Augsburg	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Memmingen	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Greuther Fürth II - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Bayreuth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
26.04.25	Wacker Burghausen - Schwaben Augsburg	1:0
12.10.24	Schwaben Augsburg - Wacker Burghausen	3:2

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