Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORTH - ROUND 33

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday


	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.66
	4.3	3.65	1.65
	4.55	3.76	1.73
	4.6	3.82	1.68	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (6)	3.71 ↓ (4.4)	1.69 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden
21.1%

Draw
24.7%

Lübeck
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

20.8%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

20%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schwarz-Weiß Rehden's performance.

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lübeck might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schwarz-Weiß Rehden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lübeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Schwarz Weiß Rehden - Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Rehden won 1.

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lübeck is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lübeck is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Rehden won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Schwarz-Weiß Rehden won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schwarz-Weiß Rehden
German Regionalliga North
15.04.23	SC Weiche-08 - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Hildesheim	2:2 ✺
06.04.23	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Drochtersen Assel - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Teutonia Ottensen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWL
- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
15.04.23	Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	2:3 ✺
01.04.23	Atlas Delmenhorst - Lübeck	0:3 ✺
24.03.23	Lübeck - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	St. Pauli II - Lübeck	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
15.10.22	Lübeck - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	4:0
14.09.19	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Lübeck	1:0
13.04.19	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Lübeck	0:3
06.10.18	Lübeck - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	0:0
11.04.18	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Lübeck	2:4
13.08.17	Lübeck - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	2:0
20.05.17	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Lübeck	2:1

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