Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Hampden Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh TV
Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Sportklub 10
Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Three
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 10
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Sportklub 10
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	RTP 1, RTP, Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app, VIX App


	Scotland		Portugal

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5
	6	4.4	1.51
	6.5	4.5	1.52
	6.45	4.45	1.52
	6.6	4.54	1.51	Watch
	6.64	4.79	1.52	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↑ (4.34)	4.53 ↑ (4.04)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scotland
15.1%

Draw
21.3%

Portugal
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.8%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scotland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scotland's form might have worsened.

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	2.9%	94.2%

Scotland - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (96 of 102 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.55% – 98.69%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gordon C. (G) Hearts 2. Ralston A. Celtic 6. Souttar J. Rangers 5. Hanley G. Norwich 3. Robertson A. (C) Liverpool 8. Gilmour B. Napoli 23. McLean K. Norwich 11. Christie R. Bournemouth 4. McTominay S. Napoli 17. Doak B. Middlesbrough 10. Adams C. Torino	1. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 20. Cancelo J. Al Hilal 3. Dias R. Manchester City 4. Silva A. Benfica 19. Mendes N. PSG 8. Fernandes B. Manchester United 6. Palhinha J. Bayern Munich 23. Vitinha PSG 14. Conceicao F. Juventus 7. Ronaldo C. (C) Al Nassr 21. Diogo Jota Liverpool
Substitutes
7. Barron C. Rangers 22. Devlin N. Aberdeen 9. Dykes L. Birmingham 20. Gauld R. Vancouver Whitecaps 14. Irving A. West Ham 16. Lindsay L. Preston 13. MacKenzie J. Aberdeen 12. McCracken J. (G) Dundee FC 21. McCrorie R. Bristol City 18. Morgan L. New York Red Bulls 19. Nisbet K. Aberdeen 15. Porteous R. Watford	5. Dalot D. Manchester United 11. Joao Felix Chelsea 17. Leao R. AC Milan 15. Neves J. PSG 18. Neves R. Al Hilal 16. Otavio Al Nassr 2. Semedo N. Wolves 10. Silva B. Manchester City 22. Silva R. (G) Betis 9. Trincao Sporting Lisbon 13. Veiga R. Chelsea 12. Velho R. (G) SC Farense
Coaches
Clarke S.	Martinez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Diogo Jota 🟨,
27', McTominay S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Palhinha J. 🟨,
61', Diogo Jota ↓, Leao R. ↑,
61', Conceicao F. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
61', Palhinha J. ↓, Neves R. ↑,
67', Doak B. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
67', Christie R. ↓, Gauld R. ↑,
83', Dias R. 🟨,
83', Adams C. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
88', Vitinha ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
88', Cancelo J. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
88', Ralston A. ↓, Devlin N. ↑,

Preview

In this match Portugal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Scotland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scotland
UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Croatia - Scotland	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Portugal - Scotland	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Scotland - Poland	2:3 ✺
UEFA Euro
23.06.24	Scotland - Hungary	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Scotland - Switzerland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Portugal
UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Portugal - Scotland	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Portugal - Croatia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
05.07.24	Portugal - France	0:1 penalties ✺
01.07.24	Portugal - Slovenia	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
08.09.24	Portugal - Scotland	2:1
Friendly
14.10.18	Scotland - Portugal	1:3

Scotland - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide