Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle)


	Seattle Sounders		Atlanta United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4
	1.78	3.7	4.35
	1.83	3.83	4.47
	1.75	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.8	3.84	4.15	Watch
	1.76	3.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)	3.75 ↑ (3.53)	4.15 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
52.5%

Draw
25%

Atlanta United
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

23.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Sounders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Seattle Sounders - Atlanta United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Frei S. (C) 16. Roldan A. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 11. Rusnak A. 6. Joao Paulo 13. Morris J. 10. Lodeiro N. 23. Chu L. 9. Ruidiaz R.	1. Guzan B. (C) 11. Lennon B. 12. Robinson M. 4. Abram L. 26. Wiley C. 8. Muyumba T. 20. Rossetto M. 21. Mosquera E. 10. Almada T. 16. Silva X. 7. Giakoumakis G.
Substitutes
3. Arreaga X. 84. Atencio J. 21. Baker-Whiting R. 45. Dobbelaere E. 19. Heber 12. Montero F. 35. Rothrock P. 26. Thomas A. (G) 73. Vargas O.	6. Alonso O. 19. Berry M. 18. Etienne D. 2. Hernandez R. 22. Sanchez J. 13. Sejdic A. 5. Sosa S. 31. Westberg Q. (G) 28. Wolff T.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Pineda G.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seattle won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Seattle is a favorite.

There are questionable in Seattle: Arreaga X. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Seattle won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Seattle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.23	Monterrey - Seattle Sounders	4:2 ✺
22.07.23	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
MLS
15.07.23	Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
12.07.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLW
- Atlanta United
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.23	Cruz Azul - Atlanta United	2:1 penalties ✺
25.07.23	Inter Miami - Atlanta United	4:0 ✺
MLS
15.07.23	Atlanta United - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
12.07.23	New England Revolution - Atlanta United	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
06.08.22	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	2:1
23.05.21	Seattle Sounders - Atlanta United	1:1
14.07.19	Seattle Sounders - Atlanta United	2:1
15.07.18	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	1:1
31.03.17	Seattle Sounders - Atlanta United	0:0
Carolina Challenge Cup
22.02.17	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	4:2

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