Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 28

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Sekhukhune United		Kaizer Chiefs

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.82	2.62
	3.03	2.91	2.76
	3	2.56	2.75	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.7
	2.82	2.73	2.57
	2.75	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	2.78 ↓ (2.95)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sekhukhune United
32.1%

Draw
33.4%

Kaizer Chiefs
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sekhukhune United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Kaizer Chiefs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sekhukhune United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Sekhukhune United - Kaizer Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kaizer Chiefs will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nsabata T. (G) 2. Mashiloane T. 29. Yamba T. 4. Cardoso D. (C) 25. Letlapa V. 15. Mkhize S. 37. Khiba T. 33. Nku L. 22. Mandi O. 31. Mokoane T. 3. Ndlovu B.	1. Petersen B. (C) 2. Monyane T. 25. Msimango S. G. 35. McCarthy A. 48. Cross B. 12. Ngcobo N. 5. Mthethwa S. 13. Mmodi P. 99. Lilepo M. 10. Sirino G. 77. Silva F.
Substitutes
44. Coetzee R. 13. Diomande A. 16. Leaner R. (G) 43. Makgalaka S. 7. Makgalwa K. 21. Mojela L. B. 8. Monare T. 36. Phiri L. 45. Tlaka K.	11. Baartman L. 44. Bvuma B. (G) 21. Cele T. 23. Chislett E. 39. Frosler R. 84. Inacio Miguel 40. Morris T. 17. Velebayi A. 28. Vilakazi M.
Coaches
Masehe P.	Ben Youssef K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Mkhize S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mthethwa S. ↓, Cele T. ↑,
46', Monyane T. ↓, Frosler R. ↑,
61', Nku L. ↓, Makgalwa K. ↑,
62', Sirino G. ↓, Vilakazi M. ↑,
62', Mokoane T. ↓, Diomande A. ↑,
62', Silva F. ↓, Morris T. ↑,
74', Khiba T. ↓, Monare T. ↑,
74', Mandi O. ↓, Mojela L. B. ↑,
79', Mmodi P. ↓, Chislett E. ↑,
80', Msimango S. G. 🟨,
86', 0 - 1, Morris T. ⚽, Lilepo M. (A),
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sekhukhune United won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sekhukhune United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kaizer Chiefs has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sekhukhune United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sekhukhune United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kaizer Chiefs	7	3	4	0	12:7	5	13
6	Sekhukhune	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sekhukhune United - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sekhukhune United
South African Premier Soccer League
06.05.26	Chippa United - Sekhukhune United	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Sekhukhune United - Marumo Gallants	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Stellenbosch - Sekhukhune United	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sekhukhune United - Magesi	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	AmaZulu - Sekhukhune United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLWT
- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
06.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Siwelele - Kaizer Chiefs	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Polokwane City - Kaizer Chiefs	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Magesi - Kaizer Chiefs	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
16.09.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Sekhukhune United	1:3
17.05.25	Sekhukhune United - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1
19.01.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Sekhukhune United	1:0
30.12.23	Sekhukhune United - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1
27.09.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Sekhukhune United	2:1
23.04.23	Sekhukhune United - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0
07.01.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Sekhukhune United	0:1

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