The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Selfoss 24.4%
Draw 23%
Fylkir 52.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
24.4%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
23.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Selfoss's form might have worsened.
Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylkir's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Selfoss, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylkir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
17.6%
82.4%
Selfoss - Fylkir Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fylkir will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fylkir will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Blakala R. (G) 4. Berntsson A. 9. Birgisson A. 21. Brynjolfsson F. 10. Gil N. 5. Petursson J. (C) 11. Sanabria A. 3. Sveinsson R. 28. Sverrisson E. 8. Tanke 32. Vokes A.
1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 2. Eythorsson A. (C) 17. Eythorsson B. 19. Gislason A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 20. Oskarsson T. 34. Saevarsson G. 5. Segatta O. 70. Tyrfingsson G. 9. Wohler E.
Substitutes
6. Einarsson D. 25. Hardarson S. 23. Heidarsson E. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 2. Sigurdsson I. 15. Vokes A. 7. Willard H.
11. Aguilera P. 3. Asthorsson A. 7. Gunnarsson T. 12. Helgason H. (G) 33. Ottesen M. 6. Vikingsson T. 14. Vikingsson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Vokes A. ⚽, Petursson J. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Birgisson A. ⚽, Petursson J. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Brynjolfsson F. ⚽,
37', Arnarsson B. ↓, Vikingsson T. ↑,
37', Gislason A. ↓, Asthorsson A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saevarsson G. ↓, Vikingsson T. ↑,
47', Sanabria A. 🟨,
55', Vikingsson T. 🟨,
59', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Gunnarsson T. ↑,
59', Wohler E. ↓, Aguilera P. ↑,
62', Tanke ↓, Sigurdsson I. ↑,
63', Blakala R. 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Tyrfingsson G. ⚽,
77', Sverrisson E. ↓, Vokes A. ↑,
77', Brynjolfsson F. ↓, Hardarson S. ↑,
88', Sveinsson R. ↓, Einarsson D. ↑,
88', Birgisson A. ↓, Willard H. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 0.
Selfoss has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fylkir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fylkir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fylkir is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 1:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Selfoss won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Watch
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Blakala R. (G) 
Berntsson A. 
Birgisson A. 
Gil N. 
Willard H. 
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