Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Selfoss		Vestri

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.95	3.35	Watch
	1.96	4.48	3.08
	1.8	3.8	3.25
	1.88	4.1	3.35
	1.81	3.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.11)	4.05 ↑ (3.87)	3.29 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selfoss
49.6%

Draw
22.6%

Vestri
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

23.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Selfoss's performance.

Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vestri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Selfoss - Vestri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Vestri is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Selfoss won 1.

Selfoss is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vestri is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Selfoss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Selfoss won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Selfoss won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 1
09.09.23	Grindavik - Selfoss	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Selfoss - Grótta	1:0 ✺
25.08.23	Akraness - Selfoss	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
16.08.23	Selfoss - Njarðvík	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTL
- IF Vestri
Icelandic Division 1
09.09.23	Vestri - Throttur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Ægir - Vestri	0:5 ✺
26.08.23	Vestri - Fjölnir	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Vestri	1:2 ✺
16.08.23	Vestri - Afturelding	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
08.08.23	Vestri - Selfoss	2:1
10.09.22	Vestri - Selfoss	2:2
05.07.22	Selfoss - Vestri	0:1
24.07.21	Vestri - Selfoss	1:2
08.05.21	Selfoss - Vestri	0:3
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.21	Selfoss - Vestri	1:0
Icelandic Division 2
27.07.19	Vestri - Selfoss	2:0

Selfoss - Vestri

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Selfoss - Vestri Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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