The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grindavik 31.5%
Draw 24.3%
Selfoss 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
22.4%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
22.4%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grindavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grindavik's form might have worsened.
Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Selfoss's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grindavik than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grindavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Selfoss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
10%
30%
Grindavik - Selfoss Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Grindavik will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Selfoss will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Grindavik: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Grindavik (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grindavik will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Grindavik (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Niemela M. (G) 14. Eysteinsson H. 7. Finnbogason A. 23. Gudmundsson S. 19. Gunnarsson R. 2. Heimisson A. 11. Hermannsson B. 16. Nieblas D. 9. Robertsson A. (C) 26. Runarsson E. 10. Sigurdsson I.
1. Blakala R. (G) 4. Berntsson A. 9. Birgisson A. 10. Gil N. 5. Petursson J. (C) 11. Sanabria A. 2. Sigurdsson I. 3. Sveinsson R. 28. Sverrisson E. 8. Tanke 32. Vokes A.
Substitutes
25. Gudmundsson F. F. 17. Hammer A. 6. Hauksson V. 22. Olafsson L. 12. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 30. Sigurdsson G. 20. Thorfinnsson M.
6. Einarsson D. 77. Einarsson E. 25. Hardarson S. 23. Heidarsson E. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 15. Vokes A. 7. Willard H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Eysteinsson H. 🟨,
30', Sigurdsson I. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Sigurdsson I. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Birgisson A. ⚽, Tanke (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Gudmundsson S. 🟨,
70', Sigurdsson I. ↓, Einarsson E. ↑,
71', Heimisson A. 🟨,
75', Gudmundsson S. ↓, Hauksson V. ↑,
75', Gunnarsson R. ↓, Olafsson L. ↑,
81', Tanke ↓, Hardarson S. ↑,
89', Petursson J. ↓, Vokes A. ↑,
90+1', Nieblas D. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grindavik won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Grindavik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Grindavik will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grindavik won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Grindavik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Watch
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Niemela M. (G) 
Eysteinsson H. 
Nieblas D. 
Blakala R. (G) 
Berntsson A. 
Willard H. 
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