Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim (Padang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Semen Padang		Borneo Samarinda

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.95	1.47	Watch
	6.71	4.2	1.52
	4.92	3.78	1.64	Watch
	6.19	3.85	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.83 ↑ (4.92)	3.95 ↑ (3.78)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Padang
15.9%

Draw
23.5%

Borneo Samarinda
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24.6%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.6%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borneo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Borneo (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Augusto A. (G) 8. Ariansyah R. 24. Meneses A. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 3. Guntara L. (C) 30. Wakaso A. 31. Setiawan R. 6. Umanailo A. 16. Matos P. 15. Juliansyah F. 9. Stewart C.	1. Argawinata N. (C) 14. Fathurrahman F. 22. Nduwarugira C. 16. Teguh K. 23. Caxambu 50. Enero 8. Hirose K. 10. Peralta M. 20. Villa J. 7. Maicon Souza 9. Joel Vinicius
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 7. Chaby F. 77. Ferdiansyah 10. Gomes B. 88. Maulana I. 86. Oropa A. 19. Ridwan M. 20. Saputra H. 12. Simanjuntak S. 41. Triyanto F. 63. Wahyudi R.	52. Ahmad Agung 3. Alhafiz H. 55. Al H. M. 54. Buffon A. 32. Douglas Coutinho 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 88. Kuswardani D. 24. Michiels D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Antonic D.	Lefundes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽, Joel Vinicius (A),
28', Teguh K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maicon Souza ↓, Al H. M. ↑,
46', Teguh K. ↓, Sihran M. ↑,
51', Joel Vinicius 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Peralta M. ⚽,
63', Umanailo A. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
63', Juliansyah F. ↓, Simanjuntak S. ↑,
77', Villa J. 🟨,
80', Joel Vinicius ↓, Douglas Coutinho ↑,
85', Setiawan R. ↓, Ridwan M. ↑,
85', Stewart C. ↓, Ferdiansyah ↑,
86', Villa J. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
90+3', Peralta M. ↓, Hardiansyah D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 1.

Semen Padang has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Borneo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Borneo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Borneo is the team to beat.

We predict that Borneo will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
03.11.25	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Java United - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Semen Padang - Bhayangkara	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Persita Tangerang - Semen Padang	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
05.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Dewa United	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Arema - Borneo Samarinda	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persik Kediri	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persija Jakarta	3:1 ✺
22.09.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persis Solo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
14.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	1:3
12.08.24	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	1:3
17.12.19	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	1:1
24.08.19	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	1:0
31.08.17	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	1:1
08.05.17	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	1:0
Indonesian ISC
11.11.16	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	2:1

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