Match Info

Acreano - Round 6

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Senador Guiomard		Independência

	1	X	2
	4.96	4.61	1.48	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.36
	4.72	3.98	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (3.18)	4.45 ↑ (3.86)	1.47 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senador Guiomard
17%

Draw
20.6%

Independência
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

23.7%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

22.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senador Guiomard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Senador Guiomard's form might have worsened.

Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independência's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senador Guiomard than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Senador Guiomard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independência, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Senador Guiomard - Independência Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independência (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Pitel ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Pitel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Senador Guiomard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independência has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Senador Guiomard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Independência might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Senador Guiomard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Senador Guiomard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Senador Guiomard
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
10.02.26	Senador Guiomard - Rio Branco FC	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	São Francisco Rio Branco - Senador Guiomard	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Senador Guiomard - Galvez	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Vasco da Gama AC - Senador Guiomard	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Senador Guiomard - Humaitá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLT
- Independência FC
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Independência	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
10.02.26	Vasco da Gama AC - Independência	1:3 ✺
02.02.26	Rio Branco FC - Independência	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Independência - Humaitá	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Independência - São Francisco Rio Branco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
22.03.25	Senador Guiomard - Independência	0:1 penalties
15.02.25	Independência - Senador Guiomard	1:1
10.03.24	Senador Guiomard - Independência	0:0
07.03.23	Senador Guiomard - Independência	0:4

Senador Guiomard - Independência: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide