Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Senglea Athletic		Birkirkara

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.33
	4.6	4.6	1.4
	7.2	4.5	1.33
	8.51	4.96	1.35
	5.8	4.4	1.4
	7.4	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↑ (5.45)	4.7 ↑ (4.3)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senglea Athletic
13.7%

Draw
19.4%

Birkirkara
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

21.4%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18.4%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senglea Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birkirkara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to Division 1 and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Senglea Athletic has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Birkirkara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Birkirkara have a series of home games.

In this match Birkirkara is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Senglea Athletic won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Senglea Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Premier League
29.11.20	Balzan - Senglea Athletic	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Senglea Athletic - Mosta	1:3 ✺
01.11.20	Valletta - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Senglea Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:5 ✺
21.10.20	Floriana - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLL
- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
02.12.20	Birkirkara - Tarxien Rainbows	3:0 ✺
28.11.20	Birkirkara - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
26.10.20	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	0:2 ✺
17.10.20	Birkirkara - Zejtun Corinthians	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
18.01.20	Birkirkara - Senglea Athletic	1:1
28.08.19	Senglea Athletic - Birkirkara	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Senglea Athletic - Birkirkara	0:0
Maltese Premier League
26.04.19	Birkirkara - Senglea Athletic	2:3
16.12.18	Senglea Athletic - Birkirkara	0:2
28.01.18	Birkirkara - Senglea Athletic	5:0
16.09.17	Senglea Athletic - Birkirkara	1:0

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