The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birkirkara 77.8%
Draw 15.5%
Gudja United 6.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.8%
20.9%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
13%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birkirkara's performance.
Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-35.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birkirkara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gudja United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zapytowski M. (G) 99. Ciolacu A. 27. Coppola A. 8. Mbong P. 25. Micallef N. 24. Pena E. 5. Pepe E. (C) 36. Sarpong E. 20. Satariano A. 11. Zammit K. II 42. Zibo S.
26. Pisani J. (G) 7. Attard S. 19. Conti M. 88. Esposito M. 77. Friggieri A. 21. Gatt L. 39. Grech Z. 11. Muchardi M. (C) 28. Nanitelamio R. 17. Quintero J. 99. Zammit G.
Substitutes
23. Agius N. J. 7. Bravo 30. Cross N. 70. Elouni O. 15. Fenech K. 22. Gambin M. 91. Maxuell Samurai 92. Micallef M. 17. Shchepetkin N. 16. Sylla A. (G) 10. Zammit A.
4. Cutajar J. 8. Gentile E. 92. Godwin J. 1. Lehtinen F. (G) 10. Lorenzoni G. 27. Nwafor S. 9. Salis I. 90. Spiteri J. (G) 23. Tabone N.
Coaches
Borg J.
Cumbo R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Ciolacu A. (Pen),
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zammit K. II ↓, Maxuell Samurai ↑,
57', Conti M. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Maxuell Samurai ⚽,
67', Satariano A. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
67', Ciolacu A. ↓, Elouni O. ↑,
71', Friggieri A. ↓, Godwin J. ↑,
72', Micallef N. 🟨,
73', Micallef N. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
75', Godwin J. 🟨,
83', Zammit G. ↓, Lorenzoni G. ↑,
87', Quintero J. ↓, Cutajar J. ↑,
87', Grech Z. ↓, Gentile E. ↑,
87', Mbong P. ↓, Agius N. J. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 3.
Recent matches Birkirkara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gudja United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gudja United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Birkirkara is certain favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Birkirkara won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.