Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Nassaji Mazandaran

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.4
	2.33	2.8	3.4
	2.38	2.81	3.22	Watch
	2.4	2.77	3.29	Watch
	2.33	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)	3.34 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
39.2%

Draw
33.2%

Nassaji Mazandaran
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

33.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mes Rafsanjan - Nassaji Mazandaran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Lak H. (G) 5. Nasiri M. 7. Karimzadeh M. H. 12. Teymouri M. 23. Shojaei A. 78. Jolani A. 4. Janmaleki A. 99. Jalaleddin A. 44. Schulz K. 29. Jabireh R. 13. Alinejad M.	27. Luan Polli (G) 88. Nemati S. 68. Houshmand A. 52. Merkel A. 55. Seifi M. 11. Rezaei M. 6. Bagheri M. 5. Samdaliri A. 10. Zamehran H. 14. Pakdel H. . Yakhshiboev J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Janmaleki A. 🟨,
22', Nasiri M. ↓, Shorabadi A. ↑,
34', Houshmand A. 🟨,
45', Janmaleki A. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Teymouri M. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mes Rafsanjan won 2.

Recent matches Mes Rafsanjan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nassaji is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mes Rafsanjan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mes Rafsanjan won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:12 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
30.03.25	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	3:1 ✺
27.02.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
20.02.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLWT
- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Pro League
29.03.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Malavan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Esteghlal - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Hazfi Cup
13.02.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1
Iran Pro League
01.11.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1
21.02.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Rafsanjan	0:3
16.08.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1
19.01.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1
12.08.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
09.05.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Rafsanjan	0:2

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