Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 9

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Chadormalou Ardakan

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.75
	2.2	2.81	3.7
	3.16	2.7	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.16)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)	3.25 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
37.4%

Draw
33.8%

Chadormalou Ardakan
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

33.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

32.7%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mes Rafsanjan's performance.

Chadormalou Ardakan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chadormalou Ardakan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mes Rafsanjan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chadormalou Ardakan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chadormalou Ardakan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 27. Kurdic N. 4. Salimi I. 34. Fakhreddini M. 20. Naghizadeh A. 6. Zendehrouh A. 77. Mehanovic M. 22. Matheus Costa 26. Ramezani A. 11. Sharifi M.	1. Sedghi H. (G) 2. Mohammadfar S. 33. Portocarrero S. 34. Vitao 10. Habibinezhad H. 76. Dehghan R. 6. Taheran A. 5. Sadeghian S. 88. Mashhadi S. 11. Simisterra R. 20. Otazu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Sharifi M. ⚽, Fakhreddini M. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Simisterra R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Habibinezhad H. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Nariman S. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Khosravi M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chadormalou will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
24.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLT
- Chadormalou Ardakan
Iran Pro League
24.10.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Paykan - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Persepolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
27.02.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0
27.09.24	Chadormalou Ardakan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0

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