Match Info

efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora)

Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Beroe Stara Zagora		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.82
	2.5	3.15	3.21
	2.51	2.8	3.24	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.75
	2.48	3.08	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.01)	3.05 ↑ (2.81)	2.96 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beroe Stara Zagora
37.9%

Draw
30.6%

Septemvri Sofia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

32.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

32%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beroe Stara Zagora's performance.

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beroe Stara Zagora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arthur (G) 30. Brunelli S. 3. Salomoni J. 4. Costantini F. 12. Valverde D. 32. Varela F. 24. Gavrilov S. 8. Borgnino M. 23. Sonha T. 7. Pineda J. 11. Ferrer I.	21. Georgiev Y. (G) 23. Schouten R. 4. Hristov M. 26. Ozornwafor V. 19. Ivkic D. 5. Baurenski Y. 18. Abou A. 17. Fontaine N. 10. Stojanovic S. 30. Stamatov M. 9. Fourrier B.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon F. 17. Dual W. 22. Georgiev M. 25. Johny 6. Mitev I. 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S. 9. Valbuena Y. 14. Valkov V.	29. Herard F. 33. Ivanov G. 8. Kolev K. 12. Krastev N. (G) 13. Onasci K. 7. Ribeiro E. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 3. Wade S.
Coaches
Uribe J.	Arangelov H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Varela F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Varela F. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
57', Borgnino M. 🟨,
66', Stojanovic S. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
66', Abou A. ↓, Onasci K. ↑,
67', Gavrilov S. ↓, Dual W. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Ozornwafor V. ⚽, Stamatov M. (A),
74', Schouten R. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
74', Fontaine N. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
79', Brunelli S. ↓, Valbuena Y. ↑,
81', Ozornwafor V. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
86', Fourrier B. 🟨,
88', Onasci K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 4.

Beroe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Septemvri Sofia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Septemvri Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8

Last Results with these Odds

Beroe Stara Zagora - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.67%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.05.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
05.05.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Slavia Sofia	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TWTWW
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Slavia Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.12.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	0:0
11.08.25	Septemvri Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:3
24.11.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	2:0
22.07.24	Septemvri Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1
12.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	2:0
Club Friendly
31.03.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	1:3
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.03.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	1:2

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