Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 32

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dragalevtsi (Sofia)

Referee: Trenchev S. (Bul)


	Septemvri Sofia		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.33
	1.65	3.55	4.7
	1.74	3.56	5.19
	1.75	3.68	4.7
	1.75	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.3)	3.55 ↑ (3.17)	4.8 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
54.2%

Draw
26.3%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pirin Blagoevgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pirin Blagoevgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 3.

Septemvri Sofia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pirin Blagoevgrad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Septemvri Sofia is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
04.05.23	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
28.04.23	Septemvri Sofia - Slavia Sofia	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
04.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:4 ✺
30.04.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.05.23	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1
24.10.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:4
Club Friendly
11.06.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:3
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.11.20	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:2
21.02.20	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:4
05.08.19	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0
Club Friendly
13.10.18	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	7:0

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