The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seraing 26%
Draw 27%
Cercle Brugge 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
28%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
29%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.
Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cercle Brugge's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cercle Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22%
16%
62%
Seraing - Cercle Brugge Predictions
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 11 - 22%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 31 - 62%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 48.5% – 75.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).
Seraing has the most likely position - 17 (18.1%), has project points - 32, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cercle Brugge has the most likely position - 12 (17.54%), has project points - 41, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality33, importance40, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Cercle Brugge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Cercle Brugge will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Seraing: Ba A.
(Injury)
D'Onofrio F.
(Injury)
Dembele M.
(Injury)
Dietsch G.
(Injury)
Kilota G.
(Knee Injury)
Lepoint C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Cercle Brugge: David
(Knee Injury)
Utkus E.
(Knee Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Seraing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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