Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Saint-Gilloise		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.85	7.2	Watch
	1.4	5.09	7.03
	1.41	4.91	7.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.3)	4.76 ↓ (5.3)	7.03 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
67%

Draw
19.7%

Cercle Brugge
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

17.7%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

17%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Saint Gilloise - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Union SG (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Gilloise will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 6. Van De Perre K. 8. Zorgane A. 27. Patris L. 17. Schoofs R. 12. David P. 13. Rodriguez K.	21. Delanghe M. (G) 2. Diakite I. 66. Ravych C. 3. Utkus E. 15. Magnee G. 37. Diop E. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 6. Agyekum L. 20. Nazinho 9. Ngoura S. 7. Ouattara A. K.
Substitutes
10. Ait El Hadj A. 3. Barry M. T. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 30. Florucz R. 19. Francois G. 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 4. Rasmussen M. 26. Sykes R. 99. Teunckens J. (G)	17. Adewumi O. 27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 10. Diakite O. 18. Gerkens P. 23. Jurado H. 5. Kakou E. 11. Minda A. 1. Warleson (G)
Coaches
Hubert D.	Cinel O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Ravych C. 🟨,
12', Leysen F. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
21', Utkus E. 🟨,
28', Patris L. 🟨,
39', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, David P. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Nazinho 🟨,
62', Ouattara A. K. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
65', David P. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
65', Van De Perre K. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
68', Schoofs R. 🟨,
69', Ngoura S. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
69', Agyekum L. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Florucz R. ⚽, Rodriguez K. (A),
84', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
84', Nazinho ↓, Kakou E. ↑,
87', Schoofs R. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 2.

Union SG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cercle Brugge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Union SG has had a series of away games.

Recently, Cercle Brugge has had a series of home games.

In this match, Union SG is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury) Niang O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite I. (Broken ankle) van der Bruggen H. (Knock)

There are questionable in Union SG: Khalaili A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.11.25	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Saint-Gilloise	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.11.25	Zulte Waregem - Saint-Gilloise	1:4 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Tubize - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWWW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.11.25	Cercle Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	RAAL La Louvière - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.25	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.25	Cercle Brugge - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cercle Brugge - Genk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:0
27.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	1:3
19.05.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
07.04.24	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:3
03.12.23	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:1
24.09.23	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:2
18.01.23	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:1

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