The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint-Gilloise 70.8%
Draw 17.8%
Cercle Brugge 11.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72%
17%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.3%
16.5%
10.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.4%
0%
5.6%
Saint Gilloise - Cercle Brugge Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Union SG (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Koffi H. (G) 4. Chibani N. 29. Sylla M. 55. Havenaar N. 27. Patris L. 23. Zeneli B. 6. Van De Perre K. (C) 11. Guilherme Smith 38. Mofokeng R. 20. Aquino D. 30. Florucz R.
1. Coucke G. (G) 2. Diakite I. 5. Kakou E. 33. Caicedo R. 12. Konate V. 18. Le Roux L. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 30. Akinsola T. 20. Manneh A. 13. Vanzeir D. 9. Ngoura S.
Substitutes
10. Ait El Hadj A. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 32. Keita S. 28. Olaru D. 14. Pavlic I. 13. Rodriguez K. 26. Sykes R. 8. Zorgane A.
45. Adaramola T. 82. Colman L. 8. Erick Nunes 41. Kouassi K. 21. Lienard Y. (G) 15. Magnee G. 71. Martens V. 22. Michal L. 42. Mondele L.
Coaches
Hubert D.
Friis L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ngoura S. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Chibani N. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Chibani N. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Sylla M. (Own goal),
49', 1 - 2, Florucz R. ⚽, De Roeve D. (A),
57', Konate V. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Sylla M. ⚽, Havenaar N. (A),
63', Akinsola T. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
64', Vanzeir D. 🟥,
66', Aquino D. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
71', Diakite I. ↓, Adaramola T. ↑,
71', Manneh A. ↓, Mondele L. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Kakou E. (Own goal),
76', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
80', 4 - 2, Mofokeng R. ⚽, Patris L. (A),
81', Florucz R. ↓, Zorgane A. ↑,
85', Le Roux L. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
85', Konate V. ↓, Magnee G. ↑,
89', Patris L. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
89', Van De Perre K. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Mofokeng R. (A),
90+2', Ngoura S. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18th in the Relegation - Challenger Pro League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 2.
Union SG is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cercle Brugge is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cercle Brugge could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Union SG as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Union SG: Hurtevent I.
(Knock)
Kricfalusi O.
(Knock)
Mac Allister K.
(Knee Injury)
Patris L.
(Red Card)
Schoofs R.
(Knock).
Confirmed absences for Cercle Brugge: Michal L.
(Inactive)
Ndala J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Union SG: Biondic M.
(Injury)
Olaru D.
(Injury)
Zorgane A.
(Knock).
Our forecast points to a victory for Union SG in today's match, at odds of 1.32.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Union SG has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:25 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Union SG against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 18:16 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).