The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seraing 15.1%
Draw 20.4%
Genk 64.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
24.3%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
24%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
7.9%
76.3%
Seraing - Genk Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). Genk will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 62.8% – 89.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group)).
Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (33.54%), has project points - 28, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Genk has the most likely position - 2 (28.55%), has project points - 66, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (52%), has a chance of win league (23%).
This event has quality35, importance43, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Seraing is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Genk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Seraing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Genk is a favorite.
There will not play in Seraing: D'Onofrio F.
(Injury)
Kilota G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Genk: Abid A.
(Knee Injury)
Oyen L.
(Knee Injury)
Sadick M.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Seraing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Watch
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