The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seraing 11.6%
Draw 20.3%
Gent 68.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.2%
21.6%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.8%
20.9%
67.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.6%
0%
86.4%
Seraing - Gent Predictions
Users Predictions:
Gent will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (96.14%), project points - 21, currently - 19, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Gent has the most likely position - 4 (56.97%), project points - 59, currently - 51, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of qualify for ucl (8%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality31, very small importance9, small match rating20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Seraing has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gent is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Gent is certain favorite.
There will not play in Gent: Fortuna N.
(Injury)
Godeau B.
(Ankle Injury)
Hjulsager A.
(Injury)
Lemajic D.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Seraing: Bernier A.
(Injury)
Galje T.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Seraing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.