The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seraing 24.1%
Draw 26.3%
KV Mechelen 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
27.8%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
28%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KV Mechelen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KV Mechelen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
15.8%
68.4%
Seraing - KV Mechelen Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Mechelen will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 47.5% โ 89.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 13).
Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (57.89%), has project points - 24, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mechelen has the most likely position - 13 (34.19%), has project points - 36, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality27, small importance20, small match rating24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2.
Seraing is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Mechelen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Seraing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mechelen will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
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